Naomi Osaka defeated Karolína Muchová 2-0, with scores of 6-4 and 7-6 (7-3), in the US Open 2025 quarterfinals at Arthur Ashe Stadium in New York on Wednesday, September 3. The Japanese former world number one and two-time champion displayed strength and consistency in a closely contested match decided by a second-set tiebreak. The 1-hour-40-minute clash marked Osaka’s return to a Grand Slam semifinal since the 2021 Australian Open, underscoring her comeback after personal challenges, including motherhood and mental health struggles.

The victory positions the 27-year-old as a title favorite, now facing the winner of Iga Świątek versus Amanda Anisimova. Watched by over 23,000 spectators, the match showcased Osaka’s power against Muchová’s versatile tactics.

Flawless serving performance

Osaka dominated with her serve, hitting five aces and achieving a 73% first-serve success rate, compared to Muchová’s 65%. She won 75% of first-serve points and 48% of second-serve points, while Muchová managed 38% on her second serve. Osaka’s serving efficiency was key, as she faced no break points on her service games, conceding only 21 points overall. Muchová, despite her tactical prowess with slices and drop shots, secured just two break points, converting one. Osaka capitalized on three of her four break point opportunities, showcasing aggression in critical moments.

Path to the quarterfinals

Osaka’s US Open 2025 journey has been marked by convincing victories. She defeated Greet Minnen, Hailey Baptiste, Daria Kasatkina, and Coco Gauff in earlier rounds, with a standout 6-3, 6-2 win over Gauff, exploiting weaknesses in the American’s forehand and second serve. This run highlights Osaka’s resurgence after returning to the tour in 2024 following breaks for mental health and the birth of her daughter, Shai, in 2023. Currently ranked 24th in the WTA, Osaka is set to re-enter the top-20 and could reach the top-10 with a strong tournament finish.

  • Osaka’s US Open 2025 wins:
    • First round: Greet Minnen (6-2, 6-1)
    • Second round: Hailey Baptiste (6-3, 6-1)
    • Third round: Daria Kasatkina (6-4, 6-3)
    • Round of 16: Coco Gauff (6-3, 6-2)

Muchová: resilience and tactics

Karolína Muchová, ranked 13th and seeded 11th, reached the quarterfinals after a challenging campaign, defeating Venus Williams, Sorana Cîrstea, Linda Nosková, and Marta Kostyuk. Her three-set win over Kostyuk (6-3, 6-7, 6-3), lasting nearly three hours, tested her physical endurance. Against Osaka, Muchová employed her versatility with varied pace and defensive shots but couldn’t overcome the Japanese player’s power. Known for a 70% win rate on hard courts, Muchová rued missed chances, particularly in the second-set tiebreak.

Head-to-head history

The Osaka-Muchová clash was their fifth professional encounter, with Osaka now leading 3-2. Their most recent match was at the 2025 Australian Open, where Muchová won 1-6, 6-1, 6-3. This time, Osaka turned the tables, showing tactical growth under her new coach, Tomasz Wiktorowski, formerly Iga Świątek’s trainer. Osaka credited small adjustments, like positioning and shot selection, for her edge over the Czech player.

  • Head-to-head record:
    • 2020: Osaka 2 x 0 Muchová (Cincinnati, 6-4, 6-2)
    • 2021: Muchová 2 x 1 Osaka (Madrid, 6-4, 3-6, 6-1)
    • 2021: Osaka 2 x 0 Muchová (Prague, 6-3, 6-2)
    • 2025: Muchová 2 x 1 Osaka (Australian Open, 1-6, 6-1, 6-3)
    • 2025: Osaka 2 x 0 Muchová (US Open, 6-4, 7-6)

Arthur Ashe atmosphere

The Arthur Ashe Stadium, with a capacity of over 23,000, provided a vibrant backdrop. The energetic New York crowd cheered both players, but Osaka, a two-time champion (2018, 2020), captivated fans with her charismatic performance. Post-match, she thanked the crowd, calling the stadium her “favorite stage.” The night session, which also featured Jannik Sinner versus Lorenzo Musetti, reinforced the US Open’s status as a premier tennis event.

What’s next

Osaka advances to the semifinals, facing either Iga Świątek, world number two, or Amanda Anisimova, ranked ninth. Osaka holds a 2-4 edge over Świątek and has never faced Anisimova in an official match. Her perfect record in Grand Slam quarterfinals (4-0) makes her a strong title contender. For Muchová, the loss halts her streak of US Open semifinals (2023, 2024), but her campaign solidifies her hard-court prowess.

Match highlights

  • Playing styles: Osaka relied on powerful baseline shots, while Muchová used slices and drop shots to disrupt her rhythm.
  • Key stats: Osaka scored 64 points to Muchová’s 71 but excelled in clutch moments, winning 10 games to Muchová’s 8.
  • Record crowd: The night session drew around 23,000 fans, one of the tournament’s largest attendances.
  • Osaka’s comeback: The Japanese star returned to the top-20 and could hit the top-10 with another win.

Ranking and tournament impact

Osaka’s US Open 2025 performance cements her WTA ranking climb. From 833rd in 2024, she’s now poised for the top-20, with a potential top-10 return. Her setless run to the quarterfinals underscores her title credentials. Muchová, with 16 wins in 28 matches in 2025, maintains her solid season. The US Open, the final Grand Slam of the year, continues with high-stakes matches like Sabalenka vs. Pegula and Alcaraz vs. Lehecka, building toward the September 7 final.

Broadcast and engagement

The Osaka-Muchová match was broadcast live in Brazil on ESPN 2, SporTV 3, and Disney+, with Portuguese narration and high-quality streaming. Starting at 8 p.m. Brasília time, it drew strong viewership, fueled by Osaka’s comeback story. Social media buzzed with praise for the tiebreak and Osaka’s emotional post-match comments about her daughter and love for tennis.

Decisive moments

The second-set tiebreak was the match’s climax. Osaka led 4-2, but Muchová leveled with a backhand winner. Osaka stayed composed, sealing the victory with an ace on match point, thrilling the crowd. Muchová’s resilience, despite fatigue from earlier rounds, earned praise. Osaka’s ability to thrive under pressure remains a hallmark of her Grand Slam success.

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